Geographic coverage
Coverage reflects only the districts and markets present in this prepared dataset; it does not imply complete state coverage.
6 · 75 · 115Key evidence
Useful evidence still has boundaries.
Selected markets, irregular reporting, aggregation, and forecast error all limit what can be concluded.
Dataset source through27 Jul 202627 Jul 2026
Represented states do not imply complete district or mandi coverage.
Quality, grade, fees, transport, negotiation, and availability affect real outcomes.
A seven-day outlook is an estimate, not a quote, guarantee, or recommendation.
Prepared market-day data retains variety counts and representative examples, not a complete downloadable variety ledger.
The published partition retains representative examples, not an exhaustive source variety catalogue.
95 Variety examples in prepared recordsSeven-day outlook
The interval is calibrated from earlier out-of-time errors. Historical coverage is not a guarantee.
70.6%Technical report
Detailed notes, interpretation, and operational boundaries
This section documents what the published evidence means, how it was produced, and where the interface deliberately avoids making a stronger claim than the data supports.
Coverage is selective
The interface covers represented markets selected by configured activity and reporting criteria; it is not a census of every mandi in a state.
- Current scope is 6 states, 75 districts, 115 markets, 14 commodities, and 90,307 prepared market-day records.
- A missing state–commodity cell means no published series in this release, not proof that the commodity is never traded there.
- Cross-state comparisons can reflect different varieties, grades, market practices, and reporting schedules.
Reported prices are contextual
Minimum, maximum, and aggregated representative prices summarize retained source rows for one market day.
- The representative aggregate is not a statistical mode, a quote, an offer, or a guaranteed transaction value.
- Variety-level dispersion can be hidden by one aggregate, so the interface retains a variety count and representative example.
- Arrival quantities may be incomplete and are not assumed to be zero when absent.
Forecasts have measurable error
The outlook is an evaluated secondary estimate and can be flat when the selected baseline finds no defensible day-specific movement.
- Locked-holdout MAE is ₹522 per quintal and empirical interval coverage is 70.6%.
- Performance varies by commodity, market, volatility, freshness, and horizon; aggregate metrics should not be treated as a local guarantee.
- The seven-day outlook is not a recommendation and should not replace current local verification.
Comparison costs are user assumptions
The comparison workspace includes only the quantity and costs the user enters.
- Transport, commission, handling, taxes, grade, quality, spoilage, payment timing, and counterparty risk are not inferred.
- A highest estimated amount is a mathematical result under the entered assumptions, not a recommendation to sell in that market.
- Different target dates are not ranked together because that would combine market and time effects into one misleading result.